Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.054671 0.063788 0.073937 0.086070 0.100181 0.116076 0.135346
2025-10-19 0.040363 0.052221 0.066813 0.086086 0.110877 0.141710 0.183006
2025-10-26 0.032465 0.045470 0.062751 0.087387 0.121619 0.167540 0.233913
2025-11-02 0.027636 0.041313 0.060672 0.090057 0.133555 0.195639 0.291153
2025-11-09 0.022655 0.035833 0.055535 0.087109 0.136477 0.210815 0.331522
2025-11-16 0.019485 0.032410 0.052699 0.086823 0.142840 0.231306 0.382011
2025-11-23 0.016871 0.029380 0.049905 0.085984 0.147896 0.250002 0.431702
2025-11-30 0.015196 0.027608 0.048824 0.087662 0.157090 0.276252 0.496998
2025-12-07 0.013390 0.025311 0.046484 0.086748 0.161530 0.294764 0.551035
2025-12-14 0.011668 0.022898 0.043579 0.084346 0.162847 0.307717 0.596425
2025-12-21 0.010203 0.020749 0.040849 0.081845 0.163534 0.319406 0.640654
2025-12-28 0.009456 0.019891 0.040434 0.083711 0.172788 0.348207 0.721428
2026-01-04 0.008632 0.018778 0.039414 0.084311 0.179756 0.373732 0.799727
2026-01-11 0.007868 0.017686 0.038294 0.084560 0.186056 0.398733 0.880410
2026-01-18 0.007288 0.016908 0.037724 0.085886 0.194786 0.429789 0.978029
2026-01-25 0.006875 0.016441 0.037754 0.088521 0.206697 0.469035 1.098723
2026-02-01 0.006098 0.015023 0.035484 0.085625 0.205708 0.479744 1.156057
2026-02-08 0.005591 0.014174 0.034401 0.085343 0.210733 0.504591 1.249516
2026-02-15 0.005105 0.013308 0.033164 0.084519 0.214331 0.526512 1.338737
2026-02-22 0.004812 0.012887 0.032944 0.086169 0.224203 0.564527 1.472455
2026-03-01 0.004410 0.012126 0.031781 0.085270 0.227519 0.586893 1.569482
2026-03-08 0.003977 0.011222 0.030141 0.082909 0.226740 0.598888 1.641152
2026-03-15 0.003586 0.010376 0.028543 0.080450 0.225376 0.609202 1.709706